The month with the most nonsense sold and the least that actually works — honey, sleep, and one genuinely useful berry.
The physiology. Immunity is two systems: innate (fast, non-specific — barriers, phagocytes, inflammation) and adaptive (slow, specific — antibodies and memory). Vaccination works by training the adaptive system. "Boosting" immunity has no defined biological meaning, which is the single most useful thing to know before spending money this month.
What actually works, in order of effect size.
1. Sleep. Short sleep is associated with increased infection risk and reduced vaccine response.
2. Vaccination, where one exists for the pathogen in question.
3. Vitamin D in people who are deficient — the benefit is concentrated in the deficient, and correcting a deficiency is reasonable.
4. Zinc, started within 24 hours of a cold starting, shortens it modestly. Long-term high-dose zinc causes copper deficiency.
5. Honey for cough — better trial evidence than most cough medicines, and absolutely not under 12 months of age.
6. Elderberry — small trials for influenza-like illness, modest, some industry-funded. Adjunct, not a substitute for vaccination or antivirals.
What does not work. Echinacea's trials are inconsistent and the effect, where present, is small. Vitamin C taken at the onset of a cold does not work; prolonged supplementation has a marginal effect in people under extreme physical stress. Garlic has small trials with inconsistent results. Most of the immune-support market has no evidence of reducing illness.
The red flags matter most in this system, because a chest infection and a cold look similar at the start and differ enormously by day three.
Meta-Analysis2025The lancet. Diabetes & endocrinology
Vitamin D supplementation to prevent acute respiratory infections: systematic review and meta-analysis of stratified aggregate data.
This updated meta-analysis yielded a similar point estimate for the overall effect of vitamin D supplementation on ARI risk to that obtained previously, but the 95% CI for this effect estimate now includes 1·00, indicating no statistically significant protection.
PubMed 39993397 ↗
Meta-Analysis2021The lancet. Diabetes & endocrinology
Vitamin D supplementation to prevent acute respiratory infections: a systematic review and meta-analysis of aggregate data from randomised controlled trials.
The relevance of these findings to COVID-19 is not known and requires further investigation.
PubMed 33798465 ↗
Meta-Analysis2021BMJ global health
Effect of micronutrient supplements on influenza and other respiratory tract infections among adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
Further research is warranted to better understand the effectiveness that individual or multiple micronutrients have on SARS-CoV-2 infection and treatment outcomes.
PubMed 33472840 ↗
Meta-Analysis2019Complementary therapies in medicine
Black elderberry (Sambucus nigra) supplementation effectively treats upper respiratory symptoms: A meta-analysis of randomized, controlled clinical trials.
These findings present an alternative to antibiotic misuse for upper respiratory symptoms due to viral infections, and a potentially safer alternative to prescription drugs for routine cases of the common cold and influenza.
PubMed 30670267 ↗
Meta-Analysis2019Health technology assessment (Winchester, England)
Vitamin D supplementation to prevent acute respiratory infections: individual participant data meta-analysis.
Vitamin D supplementation was safe, and it protected against ARIs overall.
PubMed 30675873 ↗
Meta-Analysis2018The Cochrane database of systematic reviews
Honey for acute cough in children.
Honey probably relieves cough symptoms to a greater extent than no treatment, diphenhydramine, and placebo, but may make little or no difference compared to dextromethorphan.
PubMed 29633783 ↗